Women's Pro Basketball 4th Quarter Winner

KXWNBA4QWINNER · Sports

112 events117 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 48¢ resolved YES 53.5% of the time (k=66).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢2.6% actually happened

avg price 5.9%39 events39 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 10.0%3 events3 snapshots

20–29¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 23.0%2 events2 snapshots

30–39¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 36.1%10 events10 snapshots

40–49¢54.8% actually happened

avg price 44.5%27 events31 snapshots

50–59¢53.6% actually happened

avg price 54.3%27 events28 snapshots

60–69¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 61.0%2 events2 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 85.0%2 events2 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.9%2.6%3939

10–19¢10.0%0.0%33

20–29¢23.0%0.0%22

30–39¢36.1%50.0%1010

40–49¢44.5%54.8%2731

50–59¢54.3%53.6%2728

60–69¢61.0%50.0%22

80–89¢85.0%100.0%22