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Women's Pro Basketball Player Threes

KXWNBA3PT · Sports
952 events1,592 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 18¢ resolved YES 11.3% of the time (k=242).
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 47¢ resolved YES 29.3% of the time (k=427).
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 94¢ resolved YES 85.1% of the time (k=199).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢5.2% actually happened
avg price 4.9%41 events58 snapshots
10–19¢9.6% actually happened
avg price 14.1%90 events136 snapshots
20–29¢14.2% actually happened
avg price 24.4%111 events197 snapshots
30–39¢18.8% actually happened
avg price 34.2%136 events234 snapshots
40–49¢24.9% actually happened
avg price 44.0%112 events189 snapshots
50–59¢41.9% actually happened
avg price 55.4%90 events136 snapshots
60–69¢41.7% actually happened
avg price 63.9%89 events127 snapshots
70–79¢54.0% actually happened
avg price 73.9%53 events63 snapshots
80–89¢52.6% actually happened
avg price 84.2%18 events19 snapshots
90–99¢93.1% actually happened
avg price 98.2%128 events321 snapshots