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Women's Pro Basketball Player Threes

KXWNBA3PT · Sports
952 events1,592 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 18¢ resolved YES 11.3% of the time (k=242).
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 47¢ resolved YES 29.3% of the time (k=427).
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 94¢ resolved YES 85.1% of the time (k=199).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots
19¢4.9%5.2%4158
1019¢14.1%9.6%90136
2029¢24.4%14.2%111197
3039¢34.2%18.8%136234
4049¢44.0%24.9%112189
5059¢55.4%41.9%90136
6069¢63.9%41.7%89127
7079¢73.9%54.0%5363
8089¢84.2%52.6%1819
9099¢98.2%93.1%128321