Women's Pro Basketball 1st Quarter Winner

KXWNBA1QWINNER · Sports

116 events118 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 8¢ resolved YES 2.4% of the time (k=41).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢3.1% actually happened

avg price 5.7%32 events32 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 12.4%8 events8 snapshots

20–29¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 27.0%1 events1 snapshots

30–39¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 37.1%14 events14 snapshots

40–49¢45.0% actually happened

avg price 44.5%18 events20 snapshots

50–59¢60.9% actually happened

avg price 55.4%23 events23 snapshots

60–69¢46.2% actually happened

avg price 63.0%13 events13 snapshots

70–79¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 74.3%3 events3 snapshots

80–89¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 83.0%2 events2 snapshots

90–99¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 95.0%2 events2 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.7%3.1%3232

10–19¢12.4%0.0%88

20–29¢27.0%0.0%11

30–39¢37.1%50.0%1414

40–49¢44.5%45.0%1820

50–59¢55.4%60.9%2323

60–69¢63.0%46.2%1313

70–79¢74.3%66.7%33

80–89¢83.0%50.0%22

90–99¢95.0%50.0%22