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Women's Pro Basketball 1st Quarter Winner

KXWNBA1QWINNER · Sports
116 events118 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 8¢ resolved YES 2.4% of the time (k=41).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢3.1% actually happened
avg price 5.7%32 events32 snapshots
10–19¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 12.4%8 events8 snapshots
20–29¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 27.0%1 events1 snapshots
30–39¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 37.1%14 events14 snapshots
40–49¢45.0% actually happened
avg price 44.5%18 events20 snapshots
50–59¢60.9% actually happened
avg price 55.4%23 events23 snapshots
60–69¢46.2% actually happened
avg price 63.0%13 events13 snapshots
70–79¢66.7% actually happened
avg price 74.3%3 events3 snapshots
80–89¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 83.0%2 events2 snapshots
90–99¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 95.0%2 events2 snapshots