Women's Pro Basketball 1st Quarter Spread

KXWNBA1QSPREAD · Sports

107 events132 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 45¢ resolved YES 38.3% of the time (k=79).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢25.0% actually happened

avg price 1.0%3 events4 snapshots

10–19¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 18.0%2 events2 snapshots

20–29¢22.7% actually happened

avg price 25.0%17 events22 snapshots

30–39¢34.3% actually happened

avg price 35.2%25 events35 snapshots

40–49¢41.4% actually happened

avg price 43.4%24 events29 snapshots

50–59¢38.1% actually happened

avg price 53.7%21 events21 snapshots

60–69¢44.4% actually happened

avg price 64.3%9 events9 snapshots

70–79¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 75.3%3 events3 snapshots

80–89¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 85.7%1 events3 snapshots

90–99¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 99.0%2 events4 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.0%25.0%34

10–19¢18.0%50.0%22

20–29¢25.0%22.7%1722

30–39¢35.2%34.3%2535

40–49¢43.4%41.4%2429

50–59¢53.7%38.1%2121

60–69¢64.3%44.4%99

70–79¢75.3%33.3%33

80–89¢85.7%66.7%13

90–99¢99.0%75.0%24