Women's Pro Basketball 1st Half Winner

KXWNBA1HWINNER · Sports

493 events511 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 79¢ resolved YES 73.5% of the time (k=49).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢2.4% actually happened

avg price 5.2%159 events165 snapshots

10–19¢6.3% actually happened

avg price 15.1%16 events16 snapshots

20–29¢29.0% actually happened

avg price 25.5%31 events31 snapshots

30–39¢41.4% actually happened

avg price 35.2%58 events58 snapshots

40–49¢44.1% actually happened

avg price 44.1%56 events59 snapshots

50–59¢49.3% actually happened

avg price 55.5%63 events71 snapshots

60–69¢58.6% actually happened

avg price 64.7%57 events58 snapshots

70–79¢62.5% actually happened

avg price 74.0%32 events32 snapshots

80–89¢88.9% actually happened

avg price 82.0%9 events9 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 97.4%8 events8 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.2%2.4%159165

10–19¢15.1%6.3%1616

20–29¢25.5%29.0%3131

30–39¢35.2%41.4%5858

40–49¢44.1%44.1%5659

50–59¢55.5%49.3%6371

60–69¢64.7%58.6%5758

70–79¢74.0%62.5%3232

80–89¢82.0%88.9%99

90–99¢97.4%100.0%88