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Women's Pro Basketball 1st Half Spread

KXWNBA1HSPREAD · Sports
387 events457 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.
Contracts averaging 21¢ resolved YES 29.9% of the time (k=70).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢7.1% actually happened
avg price 3.4%13 events14 snapshots
10–19¢25.0% actually happened
avg price 15.8%12 events12 snapshots
20–29¢37.3% actually happened
avg price 26.4%45 events51 snapshots
30–39¢40.4% actually happened
avg price 35.4%105 events141 snapshots
40–49¢40.5% actually happened
avg price 45.1%94 events111 snapshots
50–59¢46.6% actually happened
avg price 53.2%95 events103 snapshots
60–69¢28.6% actually happened
avg price 62.6%7 events7 snapshots
70–79¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 75.5%4 events4 snapshots
80–89¢75.0% actually happened
avg price 83.0%3 events4 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 97.8%5 events6 snapshots