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World Cup Total

KXWCTOTAL · Sports
1,497 events1,655 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.
Contracts averaging 49¢ resolved YES 54.9% of the time (k=134).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢3.9% actually happened
avg price 3.7%88 events181 snapshots
10–19¢17.6% actually happened
avg price 14.5%70 events74 snapshots
20–29¢28.8% actually happened
avg price 24.3%50 events52 snapshots
30–39¢43.3% actually happened
avg price 34.7%29 events30 snapshots
40–49¢49.1% actually happened
avg price 44.5%51 events53 snapshots
50–59¢60.0% actually happened
avg price 55.0%31 events35 snapshots
60–69¢75.0% actually happened
avg price 65.9%23 events24 snapshots
70–79¢83.7% actually happened
avg price 74.9%46 events49 snapshots
80–89¢82.7% actually happened
avg price 84.2%47 events52 snapshots
90–99¢96.7% actually happened
avg price 94.6%82 events91 snapshots