World Cup Total

KXWCTOTAL · Sports

1,497 events1,655 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 49¢ resolved YES 54.9% of the time (k=134).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢3.9% actually happened

avg price 3.7%88 events181 snapshots

10–19¢17.6% actually happened

avg price 14.5%70 events74 snapshots

20–29¢28.8% actually happened

avg price 24.3%50 events52 snapshots

30–39¢43.3% actually happened

avg price 34.7%29 events30 snapshots

40–49¢49.1% actually happened

avg price 44.5%51 events53 snapshots

50–59¢60.0% actually happened

avg price 55.0%31 events35 snapshots

60–69¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 65.9%23 events24 snapshots

70–79¢83.7% actually happened

avg price 74.9%46 events49 snapshots

80–89¢82.7% actually happened

avg price 84.2%47 events52 snapshots

90–99¢96.7% actually happened

avg price 94.6%82 events91 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.7%3.9%88181

10–19¢14.5%17.6%7074

20–29¢24.3%28.8%5052

30–39¢34.7%43.3%2930

40–49¢44.5%49.1%5153

50–59¢55.0%60.0%3135

60–69¢65.9%75.0%2324

70–79¢74.9%83.7%4649

80–89¢84.2%82.7%4752

90–99¢94.6%96.7%8291