World Cup Team Goals

KXWCTEAMGOALS · Sports

184 events309 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here delivered even more than priced in — favorites were historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 88¢ resolved YES 100.0% of the time (k=31).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢2.1% actually happened

avg price 1.3%12 events47 snapshots

10–19¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 16.0%1 events1 snapshots

30–39¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 35.0%2 events2 snapshots

40–49¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 42.3%3 events3 snapshots

50–59¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 56.3%4 events4 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 67.0%3 events3 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 76.8%9 events10 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 85.1%11 events17 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 94.1%11 events24 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.3%2.1%1247

10–19¢16.0%100.0%11

30–39¢35.0%100.0%22

40–49¢42.3%100.0%33

50–59¢56.3%100.0%44

60–69¢67.0%100.0%33

70–79¢76.8%100.0%910

80–89¢85.1%100.0%1117

90–99¢94.1%100.0%1124