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World Cup Country First Goal

KXWCTEAM1STGOAL · Sports
101 events115 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 89¢ resolved YES 46.2% of the time (k=36).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 2.6%8 events15 snapshots
10–19¢10.0% actually happened
avg price 12.2%8 events10 snapshots
20–29¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 20.0%3 events3 snapshots
30–39¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 30.0%2 events2 snapshots
40–49¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 49.0%1 events1 snapshots
50–59¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 51.0%1 events1 snapshots
60–69¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 60.0%1 events1 snapshots
70–79¢20.0% actually happened
avg price 76.6%5 events5 snapshots
80–89¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 80.0%11 events13 snapshots
90–99¢81.0% actually happened
avg price 97.9%20 events21 snapshots