← All series

World Cup Starters

KXWCSTART · Sports
166 events1,084 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.9% actually happened
avg price 1.3%32 events345 snapshots
10–19¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 10.0%1 events2 snapshots
40–49¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 44.3%5 events6 snapshots
80–89¢78.6% actually happened
avg price 85.8%3 events14 snapshots
90–99¢98.1% actually happened
avg price 98.5%34 events360 snapshots