World Cup Starters

KXWCSTART · Sports

166 events1,084 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.9% actually happened

avg price 1.3%32 events345 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 10.0%1 events2 snapshots

40–49¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 44.3%5 events6 snapshots

80–89¢78.6% actually happened

avg price 85.8%3 events14 snapshots

90–99¢98.1% actually happened

avg price 98.5%34 events360 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.3%0.9%32345

10–19¢10.0%0.0%12

40–49¢44.3%0.0%56

80–89¢85.8%78.6%314

90–99¢98.5%98.1%34360