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World Cup Score or Assist

KXWCSOA · Sports
929 events2,554 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 42¢ resolved YES 27.2% of the time (k=214).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢3.1% actually happened
avg price 5.8%100 events547 snapshots
10–19¢9.5% actually happened
avg price 13.8%100 events599 snapshots
20–29¢16.5% actually happened
avg price 23.9%95 events333 snapshots
30–39¢23.0% actually happened
avg price 34.0%83 events187 snapshots
40–49¢24.8% actually happened
avg price 44.5%72 events109 snapshots
50–59¢33.3% actually happened
avg price 53.7%39 events60 snapshots
60–69¢53.8% actually happened
avg price 63.2%20 events26 snapshots
70–79¢57.1% actually happened
avg price 71.7%7 events7 snapshots
80–89¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 83.0%2 events2 snapshots
90–99¢97.7% actually happened
avg price 98.5%53 events88 snapshots