World Cup Score or Assist

KXWCSOA · Sports

929 events2,554 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 42¢ resolved YES 27.2% of the time (k=214).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢3.1% actually happened

avg price 5.8%100 events547 snapshots

10–19¢9.5% actually happened

avg price 13.8%100 events599 snapshots

20–29¢16.5% actually happened

avg price 23.9%95 events333 snapshots

30–39¢23.0% actually happened

avg price 34.0%83 events187 snapshots

40–49¢24.8% actually happened

avg price 44.5%72 events109 snapshots

50–59¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 53.7%39 events60 snapshots

60–69¢53.8% actually happened

avg price 63.2%20 events26 snapshots

70–79¢57.1% actually happened

avg price 71.7%7 events7 snapshots

80–89¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 83.0%2 events2 snapshots

90–99¢97.7% actually happened

avg price 98.5%53 events88 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.8%3.1%100547

10–19¢13.8%9.5%100599

20–29¢23.9%16.5%95333

30–39¢34.0%23.0%83187

40–49¢44.5%24.8%72109

50–59¢53.7%33.3%3960

60–69¢63.2%53.8%2026

70–79¢71.7%57.1%77

80–89¢83.0%0.0%22

90–99¢98.5%97.7%5388