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World Cup Game

KXWCGAME · Sports
713 events816 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 86¢ resolved YES 77.8% of the time (k=45).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢3.4% actually happened
avg price 4.1%44 events59 snapshots
10–19¢17.4% actually happened
avg price 14.3%46 events46 snapshots
20–29¢26.2% actually happened
avg price 24.9%52 events61 snapshots
30–39¢39.5% actually happened
avg price 33.8%32 events38 snapshots
40–49¢28.6% actually happened
avg price 44.2%28 events28 snapshots
50–59¢64.3% actually happened
avg price 54.3%14 events14 snapshots
60–69¢77.8% actually happened
avg price 65.1%9 events9 snapshots
70–79¢63.6% actually happened
avg price 74.1%11 events11 snapshots
80–89¢80.0% actually happened
avg price 85.3%20 events20 snapshots
90–99¢85.7% actually happened
avg price 95.6%14 events14 snapshots