World Cup Game

KXWCGAME · Sports

713 events816 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 86¢ resolved YES 77.8% of the time (k=45).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢3.4% actually happened

avg price 4.1%44 events59 snapshots

10–19¢17.4% actually happened

avg price 14.3%46 events46 snapshots

20–29¢26.2% actually happened

avg price 24.9%52 events61 snapshots

30–39¢39.5% actually happened

avg price 33.8%32 events38 snapshots

40–49¢28.6% actually happened

avg price 44.2%28 events28 snapshots

50–59¢64.3% actually happened

avg price 54.3%14 events14 snapshots

60–69¢77.8% actually happened

avg price 65.1%9 events9 snapshots

70–79¢63.6% actually happened

avg price 74.1%11 events11 snapshots

80–89¢80.0% actually happened

avg price 85.3%20 events20 snapshots

90–99¢85.7% actually happened

avg price 95.6%14 events14 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.1%3.4%4459

10–19¢14.3%17.4%4646

20–29¢24.9%26.2%5261

30–39¢33.8%39.5%3238

40–49¢44.2%28.6%2828

50–59¢54.3%64.3%1414

60–69¢65.1%77.8%99

70–79¢74.1%63.6%1111

80–89¢85.3%80.0%2020

90–99¢95.6%85.7%1414