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World Cup Team To Score First

KXWCFTTS · Sports
655 events689 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 5.6%72 events77 snapshots
10–19¢20.9% actually happened
avg price 13.5%37 events43 snapshots
20–29¢26.3% actually happened
avg price 24.7%36 events38 snapshots
30–39¢25.7% actually happened
avg price 34.1%29 events35 snapshots
40–49¢43.8% actually happened
avg price 44.1%13 events16 snapshots
50–59¢73.7% actually happened
avg price 55.0%19 events19 snapshots
60–69¢60.7% actually happened
avg price 64.4%28 events28 snapshots
70–79¢66.7% actually happened
avg price 74.0%27 events27 snapshots
80–89¢90.9% actually happened
avg price 84.8%11 events11 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 97.5%6 events6 snapshots