World Cup Team To Score First

KXWCFTTS · Sports

655 events689 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.6%0.0%7277

10–19¢13.5%20.9%3743

20–29¢24.7%26.3%3638

30–39¢34.1%25.7%2935

40–49¢44.1%43.8%1316

50–59¢55.0%73.7%1919

60–69¢64.4%60.7%2828

70–79¢74.0%66.7%2727

80–89¢84.8%90.9%1111

90–99¢97.5%100.0%66