World Cup Team To Score First

KXWCFTTS · Sports

655 events689 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 5.6%72 events77 snapshots

10–19¢20.9% actually happened

avg price 13.5%37 events43 snapshots

20–29¢26.3% actually happened

avg price 24.7%36 events38 snapshots

30–39¢25.7% actually happened

avg price 34.1%29 events35 snapshots

40–49¢43.8% actually happened

avg price 44.1%13 events16 snapshots

50–59¢73.7% actually happened

avg price 55.0%19 events19 snapshots

60–69¢60.7% actually happened

avg price 64.4%28 events28 snapshots

70–79¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 74.0%27 events27 snapshots

80–89¢90.9% actually happened

avg price 84.8%11 events11 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 97.5%6 events6 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.6%0.0%7277

10–19¢13.5%20.9%3743

20–29¢24.7%26.3%3638

30–39¢34.1%25.7%2935

40–49¢44.1%43.8%1316

50–59¢55.0%73.7%1919

60–69¢64.4%60.7%2828

70–79¢74.0%66.7%2727

80–89¢84.8%90.9%1111

90–99¢97.5%100.0%66