World Cup Corners

KXWCCORNERS · Sports

946 events1,020 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.3%6.4%2247

10–19¢14.4%13.2%2938

20–29¢24.2%16.1%6062

30–39¢34.6%25.0%5252

40–49¢44.7%36.8%5657

50–59¢55.2%65.5%5555

60–69¢65.3%62.7%5151

70–79¢74.6%69.4%4749

80–89¢84.2%83.3%3536

90–99¢95.4%100.0%2653