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World Cup Assists

KXWCAST · Sports
632 events3,198 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 37¢ resolved YES 14.3% of the time (k=55).
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 96¢ resolved YES 87.2% of the time (k=35).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢2.7% actually happened
avg price 4.8%100 events1,382 snapshots
10–19¢9.4% actually happened
avg price 13.5%100 events626 snapshots
20–29¢12.0% actually happened
avg price 23.3%81 events192 snapshots
30–39¢16.1% actually happened
avg price 33.1%36 events56 snapshots
40–49¢11.8% actually happened
avg price 44.2%15 events17 snapshots
50–59¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 54.0%1 events1 snapshots
60–69¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 65.7%3 events3 snapshots
70–79¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 72.5%2 events2 snapshots
80–89¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 83.5%2 events2 snapshots
90–99¢91.4% actually happened
avg price 98.0%31 events35 snapshots