World Cup Second Half Spread

KXWC2HSPREAD · Sports

231 events247 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.3%1.3%7376

10–19¢14.2%13.9%3036

20–29¢24.3%27.6%2829

30–39¢33.9%35.7%1414

40–49¢43.7%70.0%1010

50–59¢53.5%0.0%22

60–69¢68.0%100.0%11