World Cup Second Half Spread

KXWC2HSPREAD · Sports

231 events247 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢1.3% actually happened

avg price 4.3%73 events76 snapshots

10–19¢13.9% actually happened

avg price 14.2%30 events36 snapshots

20–29¢27.6% actually happened

avg price 24.3%28 events29 snapshots

30–39¢35.7% actually happened

avg price 33.9%14 events14 snapshots

40–49¢70.0% actually happened

avg price 43.7%10 events10 snapshots

50–59¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 53.5%2 events2 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 68.0%1 events1 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.3%1.3%7376

10–19¢14.2%13.9%3036

20–29¢24.3%27.6%2829

30–39¢33.9%35.7%1414

40–49¢43.7%70.0%1010

50–59¢53.5%0.0%22

60–69¢68.0%100.0%11