World Cup 2nd Half Winner

KXWC2H · Sports

493 events526 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢5.6% actually happened

avg price 6.6%18 events18 snapshots

10–19¢9.8% actually happened

avg price 14.7%41 events41 snapshots

20–29¢19.1% actually happened

avg price 24.6%45 events47 snapshots

30–39¢30.9% actually happened

avg price 34.4%57 events68 snapshots

40–49¢41.7% actually happened

avg price 43.6%23 events24 snapshots

50–59¢76.9% actually happened

avg price 53.6%26 events26 snapshots

60–69¢61.5% actually happened

avg price 63.4%13 events13 snapshots

70–79¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 74.1%12 events12 snapshots

80–89¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 82.7%3 events3 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢6.6%5.6%1818

10–19¢14.7%9.8%4141

20–29¢24.6%19.1%4547

30–39¢34.4%30.9%5768

40–49¢43.6%41.7%2324

50–59¢53.6%76.9%2626

60–69¢63.4%61.5%1313

70–79¢74.1%75.0%1212

80–89¢82.7%66.7%33