World Cup 1st Half Total

KXWC1HTOTAL · Sports

938 events995 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢4.2% actually happened

avg price 5.1%95 events118 snapshots

10–19¢16.9% actually happened

avg price 13.3%71 events71 snapshots

20–29¢26.5% actually happened

avg price 25.4%34 events34 snapshots

30–39¢23.1% actually happened

avg price 33.1%52 events52 snapshots

40–49¢52.9% actually happened

avg price 43.1%17 events17 snapshots

50–59¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 54.7%12 events12 snapshots

60–69¢67.9% actually happened

avg price 66.1%53 events53 snapshots

70–79¢71.9% actually happened

avg price 74.6%32 events32 snapshots

80–89¢81.8% actually happened

avg price 83.3%11 events11 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.1%4.2%95118

10–19¢13.3%16.9%7171

20–29¢25.4%26.5%3434

30–39¢33.1%23.1%5252

40–49¢43.1%52.9%1717

50–59¢54.7%50.0%1212

60–69¢66.1%67.9%5353

70–79¢74.6%71.9%3232

80–89¢83.3%81.8%1111