World Cup First Half Spread

KXWC1HSPREAD · Sports

347 events374 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.9% actually happened

avg price 3.9%100 events114 snapshots

10–19¢6.7% actually happened

avg price 14.0%45 events45 snapshots

20–29¢16.0% actually happened

avg price 23.6%25 events25 snapshots

30–39¢18.2% actually happened

avg price 34.1%11 events11 snapshots

40–49¢60.0% actually happened

avg price 44.8%5 events5 snapshots

50–59¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 58.0%1 events1 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.9%0.9%100114

10–19¢14.0%6.7%4545

20–29¢23.6%16.0%2525

30–39¢34.1%18.2%1111

40–49¢44.8%60.0%55

50–59¢58.0%100.0%11