World Cup First Half Spread

KXWC1HSPREAD · Sports

347 events374 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.9%0.9%100114

10–19¢14.0%6.7%4545

20–29¢23.6%16.0%2525

30–39¢34.1%18.2%1111

40–49¢44.8%60.0%55

50–59¢58.0%100.0%11