World Cup 1st Half

KXWC1H · Sports

699 events784 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢12.5% actually happened

avg price 6.7%24 events24 snapshots

10–19¢18.0% actually happened

avg price 14.4%50 events50 snapshots

20–29¢16.7% actually happened

avg price 23.7%36 events42 snapshots

30–39¢32.7% actually happened

avg price 34.8%55 events55 snapshots

40–49¢39.3% actually happened

avg price 44.0%59 events84 snapshots

50–59¢64.0% actually happened

avg price 54.3%25 events25 snapshots

60–69¢69.2% actually happened

avg price 65.0%13 events13 snapshots

70–79¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 74.2%6 events6 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 83.0%1 events1 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢6.7%12.5%2424

10–19¢14.4%18.0%5050

20–29¢23.7%16.7%3642

30–39¢34.8%32.7%5555

40–49¢44.0%39.3%5984

50–59¢54.3%64.0%2525

60–69¢65.0%69.2%1313

70–79¢74.2%66.7%66

80–89¢83.0%100.0%11