Valorant Map Winner

KXVALORANTMAP · Sports

2,438 events2,531 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 82¢ resolved YES 72.6% of the time (k=156).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢5.7% actually happened

avg price 2.5%33 events35 snapshots

10–19¢13.3% actually happened

avg price 16.1%15 events15 snapshots

20–29¢25.4% actually happened

avg price 24.6%67 events67 snapshots

30–39¢30.7% actually happened

avg price 35.4%215 events215 snapshots

40–49¢43.3% actually happened

avg price 44.7%417 events423 snapshots

50–59¢52.7% actually happened

avg price 54.6%398 events461 snapshots

60–69¢69.7% actually happened

avg price 63.9%289 events290 snapshots

70–79¢62.4% actually happened

avg price 74.1%85 events85 snapshots

80–89¢76.7% actually happened

avg price 83.2%30 events30 snapshots

90–99¢90.5% actually happened

avg price 97.2%41 events42 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢2.5%5.7%3335

10–19¢16.1%13.3%1515

20–29¢24.6%25.4%6767

30–39¢35.4%30.7%215215

40–49¢44.7%43.3%417423

50–59¢54.6%52.7%398461

60–69¢63.9%69.7%289290

70–79¢74.1%62.4%8585

80–89¢83.2%76.7%3030

90–99¢97.2%90.5%4142