Valorant game winner

KXVALORANTGAME · Sports

1,343 events1,377 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 85¢ resolved YES 78.3% of the time (k=252).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢8.1% actually happened

avg price 3.3%62 events62 snapshots

10–19¢22.0% actually happened

avg price 15.0%82 events82 snapshots

20–29¢27.3% actually happened

avg price 24.7%66 events66 snapshots

30–39¢28.9% actually happened

avg price 34.7%89 events90 snapshots

40–49¢41.2% actually happened

avg price 44.9%119 events119 snapshots

50–59¢56.3% actually happened

avg price 54.5%97 events112 snapshots

60–69¢63.1% actually happened

avg price 64.2%110 events111 snapshots

70–79¢68.4% actually happened

avg price 74.1%79 events79 snapshots

80–89¢77.9% actually happened

avg price 84.5%95 events95 snapshots

90–99¢88.6% actually happened

avg price 95.7%78 events79 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.3%8.1%6262

10–19¢15.0%22.0%8282

20–29¢24.7%27.3%6666

30–39¢34.7%28.9%8990

40–49¢44.9%41.2%119119

50–59¢54.5%56.3%97112

60–69¢64.2%63.1%110111

70–79¢74.1%68.4%7979

80–89¢84.5%77.9%9595

90–99¢95.7%88.6%7879