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Valorant game winner

KXVALORANTGAME · Sports
1,343 events1,377 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 85¢ resolved YES 78.3% of the time (k=252).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢8.1% actually happened
avg price 3.3%62 events62 snapshots
10–19¢22.0% actually happened
avg price 15.0%82 events82 snapshots
20–29¢27.3% actually happened
avg price 24.7%66 events66 snapshots
30–39¢28.9% actually happened
avg price 34.7%89 events90 snapshots
40–49¢41.2% actually happened
avg price 44.9%119 events119 snapshots
50–59¢56.3% actually happened
avg price 54.5%97 events112 snapshots
60–69¢63.1% actually happened
avg price 64.2%110 events111 snapshots
70–79¢68.4% actually happened
avg price 74.1%79 events79 snapshots
80–89¢77.9% actually happened
avg price 84.5%95 events95 snapshots
90–99¢88.6% actually happened
avg price 95.7%78 events79 snapshots