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USL Championship Game

KXUSLGAME · Sports
380 events459 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 43¢ resolved YES 35.4% of the time (k=105).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 4.9%12 events18 snapshots
10–19¢18.5% actually happened
avg price 15.0%25 events27 snapshots
20–29¢30.0% actually happened
avg price 24.6%47 events50 snapshots
30–39¢32.3% actually happened
avg price 34.3%45 events62 snapshots
40–49¢36.8% actually happened
avg price 43.5%32 events38 snapshots
50–59¢41.2% actually happened
avg price 54.2%16 events17 snapshots
60–69¢38.5% actually happened
avg price 63.9%12 events13 snapshots
70–79¢66.7% actually happened
avg price 72.2%6 events6 snapshots
80–89¢75.0% actually happened
avg price 83.3%4 events4 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 93.8%8 events8 snapshots