USL Championship Game

KXUSLGAME · Sports

380 events459 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 43¢ resolved YES 35.4% of the time (k=105).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 4.9%12 events18 snapshots

10–19¢18.5% actually happened

avg price 15.0%25 events27 snapshots

20–29¢30.0% actually happened

avg price 24.6%47 events50 snapshots

30–39¢32.3% actually happened

avg price 34.3%45 events62 snapshots

40–49¢36.8% actually happened

avg price 43.5%32 events38 snapshots

50–59¢41.2% actually happened

avg price 54.2%16 events17 snapshots

60–69¢38.5% actually happened

avg price 63.9%12 events13 snapshots

70–79¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 72.2%6 events6 snapshots

80–89¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 83.3%4 events4 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 93.8%8 events8 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.9%0.0%1218

10–19¢15.0%18.5%2527

20–29¢24.6%30.0%4750

30–39¢34.3%32.3%4562

40–49¢43.5%36.8%3238

50–59¢54.2%41.2%1617

60–69¢63.9%38.5%1213

70–79¢72.2%66.7%66

80–89¢83.3%75.0%44

90–99¢93.8%100.0%88