USL Championship Game

KXUSLGAME · Sports

380 events459 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 43¢ resolved YES 35.4% of the time (k=105).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.9%0.0%1218

10–19¢15.0%18.5%2527

20–29¢24.6%30.0%4750

30–39¢34.3%32.3%4562

40–49¢43.5%36.8%3238

50–59¢54.2%41.2%1617

60–69¢63.9%38.5%1213

70–79¢72.2%66.7%66

80–89¢83.3%75.0%44

90–99¢93.8%100.0%88