← All series

Uruguay Primera Division Game

KXURYPDGAME · Sports
228 events282 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 19¢ resolved YES 13.8% of the time (k=53).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 6.3%8 events10 snapshots
10–19¢18.8% actually happened
avg price 15.6%16 events16 snapshots
20–29¢15.6% actually happened
avg price 25.4%29 events32 snapshots
30–39¢25.0% actually happened
avg price 34.5%27 events36 snapshots
40–49¢58.6% actually happened
avg price 44.2%25 events29 snapshots
50–59¢66.7% actually happened
avg price 54.7%6 events6 snapshots
60–69¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 65.5%4 events4 snapshots
70–79¢75.0% actually happened
avg price 72.3%4 events4 snapshots
80–89¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 80.0%2 events2 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 94.0%2 events2 snapshots