UFC Round of Victory

KXUFCVICROUND · Sports

453 events1,078 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 46¢ resolved YES 40.2% of the time (k=84).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢6.9% actually happened

avg price 5.7%102 events394 snapshots

10–19¢9.9% actually happened

avg price 13.3%87 events192 snapshots

20–29¢14.3% actually happened

avg price 23.8%40 events56 snapshots

30–39¢35.7% actually happened

avg price 35.5%27 events28 snapshots

40–49¢34.5% actually happened

avg price 43.5%28 events29 snapshots

50–59¢47.6% actually happened

avg price 54.6%20 events21 snapshots

60–69¢55.6% actually happened

avg price 65.6%9 events9 snapshots

70–79¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 74.3%4 events4 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 99.0%7 events7 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.7%6.9%102394

10–19¢13.3%9.9%87192

20–29¢23.8%14.3%4056

30–39¢35.5%35.7%2728

40–49¢43.5%34.5%2829

50–59¢54.6%47.6%2021

60–69¢65.6%55.6%99

70–79¢74.3%75.0%44

90–99¢99.0%100.0%77