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UFC Round of Victory

KXUFCVICROUND · Sports
453 events1,078 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 46¢ resolved YES 40.2% of the time (k=84).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢6.9% actually happened
avg price 5.7%102 events394 snapshots
10–19¢9.9% actually happened
avg price 13.3%87 events192 snapshots
20–29¢14.3% actually happened
avg price 23.8%40 events56 snapshots
30–39¢35.7% actually happened
avg price 35.5%27 events28 snapshots
40–49¢34.5% actually happened
avg price 43.5%28 events29 snapshots
50–59¢47.6% actually happened
avg price 54.6%20 events21 snapshots
60–69¢55.6% actually happened
avg price 65.6%9 events9 snapshots
70–79¢75.0% actually happened
avg price 74.3%4 events4 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 99.0%7 events7 snapshots