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UFC Method of Victory

KXUFCMOV · Sports
504 events993 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢1.9% actually happened
avg price 4.1%101 events312 snapshots
10–19¢14.5% actually happened
avg price 14.2%92 events186 snapshots
20–29¢19.4% actually happened
avg price 24.3%61 events93 snapshots
30–39¢36.7% actually happened
avg price 34.4%50 events60 snapshots
40–49¢25.0% actually happened
avg price 42.8%27 events28 snapshots
50–59¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 53.3%14 events14 snapshots
60–69¢57.1% actually happened
avg price 63.0%7 events7 snapshots
70–79¢75.0% actually happened
avg price 77.0%4 events4 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 99.0%6 events6 snapshots