UFC Method of Victory

KXUFCMOV · Sports

504 events993 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢1.9% actually happened

avg price 4.1%101 events312 snapshots

10–19¢14.5% actually happened

avg price 14.2%92 events186 snapshots

20–29¢19.4% actually happened

avg price 24.3%61 events93 snapshots

30–39¢36.7% actually happened

avg price 34.4%50 events60 snapshots

40–49¢25.0% actually happened

avg price 42.8%27 events28 snapshots

50–59¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 53.3%14 events14 snapshots

60–69¢57.1% actually happened

avg price 63.0%7 events7 snapshots

70–79¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 77.0%4 events4 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 99.0%6 events6 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.1%1.9%101312

10–19¢14.2%14.5%92186

20–29¢24.3%19.4%6193

30–39¢34.4%36.7%5060

40–49¢42.8%25.0%2728

50–59¢53.3%50.0%1414

60–69¢63.0%57.1%77

70–79¢77.0%75.0%44

90–99¢99.0%100.0%66