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UFC Method of Finish

KXUFCMOF · Sports
351 events412 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 48¢ resolved YES 39.5% of the time (k=105).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢2.4% actually happened
avg price 3.1%65 events84 snapshots
10–19¢15.6% actually happened
avg price 14.0%39 events45 snapshots
20–29¢11.1% actually happened
avg price 23.1%22 events27 snapshots
30–39¢32.4% actually happened
avg price 35.0%31 events37 snapshots
40–49¢34.5% actually happened
avg price 44.1%22 events29 snapshots
50–59¢35.5% actually happened
avg price 54.8%30 events31 snapshots
60–69¢63.6% actually happened
avg price 63.5%22 events22 snapshots
70–79¢72.7% actually happened
avg price 73.1%11 events11 snapshots
80–89¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 84.2%5 events5 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 99.0%5 events5 snapshots