UFC Method of Finish

KXUFCMOF · Sports

351 events412 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 48¢ resolved YES 39.5% of the time (k=105).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢2.4% actually happened

avg price 3.1%65 events84 snapshots

10–19¢15.6% actually happened

avg price 14.0%39 events45 snapshots

20–29¢11.1% actually happened

avg price 23.1%22 events27 snapshots

30–39¢32.4% actually happened

avg price 35.0%31 events37 snapshots

40–49¢34.5% actually happened

avg price 44.1%22 events29 snapshots

50–59¢35.5% actually happened

avg price 54.8%30 events31 snapshots

60–69¢63.6% actually happened

avg price 63.5%22 events22 snapshots

70–79¢72.7% actually happened

avg price 73.1%11 events11 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 84.2%5 events5 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 99.0%5 events5 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.1%2.4%6584

10–19¢14.0%15.6%3945

20–29¢23.1%11.1%2227

30–39¢35.0%32.4%3137

40–49¢44.1%34.5%2229

50–59¢54.8%35.5%3031

60–69¢63.5%63.6%2222

70–79¢73.1%72.7%1111

80–89¢84.2%100.0%55

90–99¢99.0%100.0%55