UFC To Go The Distance

KXUFCDISTANCE · Sports

143 events143 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 46¢ resolved YES 32.9% of the time (k=73).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.3%0.0%44

10–19¢14.7%0.0%1010

20–29¢22.8%11.1%99

30–39¢35.5%29.2%2424

40–49¢43.9%39.1%2323

50–59¢55.9%20.0%1515

60–69¢63.2%45.5%1111

70–79¢73.0%100.0%22

80–89¢81.0%100.0%11

90–99¢99.0%100.0%33