UFC To Go The Distance

KXUFCDISTANCE · Sports

143 events143 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 46¢ resolved YES 32.9% of the time (k=73).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 4.3%4 events4 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 14.7%10 events10 snapshots

20–29¢11.1% actually happened

avg price 22.8%9 events9 snapshots

30–39¢29.2% actually happened

avg price 35.5%24 events24 snapshots

40–49¢39.1% actually happened

avg price 43.9%23 events23 snapshots

50–59¢20.0% actually happened

avg price 55.9%15 events15 snapshots

60–69¢45.5% actually happened

avg price 63.2%11 events11 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 73.0%2 events2 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 81.0%1 events1 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 99.0%3 events3 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.3%0.0%44

10–19¢14.7%0.0%1010

20–29¢22.8%11.1%99

30–39¢35.5%29.2%2424

40–49¢43.9%39.1%2323

50–59¢55.9%20.0%1515

60–69¢63.2%45.5%1111

70–79¢73.0%100.0%22

80–89¢81.0%100.0%11

90–99¢99.0%100.0%33