UEFA Conference League Game

KXUECLGAME · Sports

136 events162 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 15¢ resolved YES 8.6% of the time (k=31).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 4.2%8 events12 snapshots

10–19¢10.0% actually happened

avg price 16.2%10 events10 snapshots

20–29¢15.4% actually happened

avg price 25.0%13 events13 snapshots

30–39¢31.6% actually happened

avg price 33.7%14 events19 snapshots

40–49¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 43.7%12 events14 snapshots

50–59¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 57.0%3 events3 snapshots

60–69¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 63.0%3 events3 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 81.0%3 events3 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 94.8%4 events4 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.2%0.0%812

10–19¢16.2%10.0%1010

20–29¢25.0%15.4%1313

30–39¢33.7%31.6%1419

40–49¢43.7%50.0%1214

50–59¢57.0%66.7%33

60–69¢63.0%66.7%33

80–89¢81.0%100.0%33

90–99¢94.8%100.0%44