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Truflation US CPI Eggs Index

KXTRUFEGGS · Economics
75 events138 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 92¢ resolved YES 71.4% of the time (k=35).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢7.7% actually happened
avg price 2.6%16 events39 snapshots
10–19¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 10.7%3 events3 snapshots
20–29¢85.7% actually happened
avg price 22.7%6 events7 snapshots
30–39¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 33.2%3 events6 snapshots
40–49¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 43.4%4 events5 snapshots
50–59¢60.0% actually happened
avg price 54.2%5 events5 snapshots
60–69¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 64.0%3 events3 snapshots
70–79¢16.7% actually happened
avg price 74.7%9 events12 snapshots
80–89¢66.7% actually happened
avg price 84.8%5 events6 snapshots
90–99¢84.6% actually happened
avg price 96.2%21 events52 snapshots