Truflation US CPI Eggs Index

KXTRUFEGGS · Economics

75 events138 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 92¢ resolved YES 71.4% of the time (k=35).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢2.6%7.7%1639

10–19¢10.7%0.0%33

20–29¢22.7%85.7%67

30–39¢33.2%0.0%36

40–49¢43.4%0.0%45

50–59¢54.2%60.0%55

60–69¢64.0%100.0%33

70–79¢74.7%16.7%912

80–89¢84.8%66.7%56

90–99¢96.2%84.6%2152