Serie A Spread

KXSERIEASPREAD · Sports

183 events264 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢3.0% actually happened

avg price 3.7%30 events66 snapshots

10–19¢13.0% actually happened

avg price 14.2%22 events23 snapshots

20–29¢9.1% actually happened

avg price 23.7%11 events11 snapshots

30–39¢25.0% actually happened

avg price 33.8%12 events12 snapshots

40–49¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 42.7%3 events3 snapshots

50–59¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 51.5%2 events2 snapshots

60–69¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 65.5%2 events2 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 86.0%1 events1 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.7%3.0%3066

10–19¢14.2%13.0%2223

20–29¢23.7%9.1%1111

30–39¢33.8%25.0%1212

40–49¢42.7%33.3%33

50–59¢51.5%50.0%22

60–69¢65.5%0.0%22

80–89¢86.0%100.0%11