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Rugby NRL Match

KXRUGBYNRLMATCH · Sports
377 events400 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 33.3% of the time (k=44).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 3.0%58 events73 snapshots
10–19¢7.7% actually happened
avg price 14.2%13 events13 snapshots
20–29¢37.5% actually happened
avg price 22.9%15 events16 snapshots
30–39¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 33.4%11 events11 snapshots
40–49¢27.3% actually happened
avg price 45.3%11 events11 snapshots
50–59¢22.2% actually happened
avg price 53.0%8 events9 snapshots
60–69¢71.4% actually happened
avg price 63.5%14 events14 snapshots
70–79¢66.7% actually happened
avg price 73.2%11 events12 snapshots
80–89¢76.5% actually happened
avg price 85.0%17 events17 snapshots
90–99¢96.0% actually happened
avg price 96.4%25 events25 snapshots