Rugby NRL Match

KXRUGBYNRLMATCH · Sports

377 events400 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 33.3% of the time (k=44).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 3.0%58 events73 snapshots

10–19¢7.7% actually happened

avg price 14.2%13 events13 snapshots

20–29¢37.5% actually happened

avg price 22.9%15 events16 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 33.4%11 events11 snapshots

40–49¢27.3% actually happened

avg price 45.3%11 events11 snapshots

50–59¢22.2% actually happened

avg price 53.0%8 events9 snapshots

60–69¢71.4% actually happened

avg price 63.5%14 events14 snapshots

70–79¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 73.2%11 events12 snapshots

80–89¢76.5% actually happened

avg price 85.0%17 events17 snapshots

90–99¢96.0% actually happened

avg price 96.4%25 events25 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.0%0.0%5873

10–19¢14.2%7.7%1313

20–29¢22.9%37.5%1516

30–39¢33.4%0.0%1111

40–49¢45.3%27.3%1111

50–59¢53.0%22.2%89

60–69¢63.5%71.4%1414

70–79¢73.2%66.7%1112

80–89¢85.0%76.5%1717

90–99¢96.4%96.0%2525