Rugby NRL Match

KXRUGBYNRLMATCH · Sports

377 events400 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 33.3% of the time (k=44).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.0%0.0%5873

10–19¢14.2%7.7%1313

20–29¢22.9%37.5%1516

30–39¢33.4%0.0%1111

40–49¢45.3%27.3%1111

50–59¢53.0%22.2%89

60–69¢63.5%71.4%1414

70–79¢73.2%66.7%1112

80–89¢85.0%76.5%1717

90–99¢96.4%96.0%2525