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Rugby French 14 Match

KXRUGBYFRA14MATCH · Sports
108 events117 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 10¢ resolved YES 3.0% of the time (k=32).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 4.0%19 events19 snapshots
10–19¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 13.2%8 events9 snapshots
20–29¢20.0% actually happened
avg price 25.6%5 events5 snapshots
30–39¢16.7% actually happened
avg price 34.7%6 events6 snapshots
40–49¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 45.0%1 events1 snapshots
60–69¢66.7% actually happened
avg price 66.7%5 events6 snapshots
70–79¢80.0% actually happened
avg price 75.2%5 events5 snapshots
80–89¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 85.8%4 events4 snapshots
90–99¢93.3% actually happened
avg price 97.7%15 events15 snapshots