Rugby French 14 Match

KXRUGBYFRA14MATCH · Sports

108 events117 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 10¢ resolved YES 3.0% of the time (k=32).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 4.0%19 events19 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 13.2%8 events9 snapshots

20–29¢20.0% actually happened

avg price 25.6%5 events5 snapshots

30–39¢16.7% actually happened

avg price 34.7%6 events6 snapshots

40–49¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 45.0%1 events1 snapshots

60–69¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 66.7%5 events6 snapshots

70–79¢80.0% actually happened

avg price 75.2%5 events5 snapshots

80–89¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 85.8%4 events4 snapshots

90–99¢93.3% actually happened

avg price 97.7%15 events15 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.0%0.0%1919

10–19¢13.2%0.0%89

20–29¢25.6%20.0%55

30–39¢34.7%16.7%66

40–49¢45.0%0.0%11

60–69¢66.7%66.7%56

70–79¢75.2%80.0%55

80–89¢85.8%50.0%44

90–99¢97.7%93.3%1515