NYC rain

KXRAINNYC · Climate and Weather

132 events132 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 1.6%23 events23 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 12.2%5 events5 snapshots

20–29¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 26.0%1 events1 snapshots

30–39¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 33.0%1 events1 snapshots

40–49¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 48.0%1 events1 snapshots

60–69¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 65.0%1 events1 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 98.7%34 events34 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢1.6%0.0%2323

10–19¢12.2%0.0%55

20–29¢26.0%0.0%11

30–39¢33.0%0.0%11

40–49¢48.0%0.0%11

60–69¢65.0%100.0%11

90–99¢98.7%100.0%3434