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NYC rain

KXRAINNYC · Climate and Weather
132 events132 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 1.6%23 events23 snapshots
10–19¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 12.2%5 events5 snapshots
20–29¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 26.0%1 events1 snapshots
30–39¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 33.0%1 events1 snapshots
40–49¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 48.0%1 events1 snapshots
60–69¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 65.0%1 events1 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 98.7%34 events34 snapshots