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R6 Game

KXR6GAME · Sports
526 events538 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 82¢ resolved YES 75.3% of the time (k=93).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢12.5% actually happened
avg price 3.6%8 events8 snapshots
10–19¢12.0% actually happened
avg price 14.8%25 events25 snapshots
20–29¢28.0% actually happened
avg price 24.1%50 events50 snapshots
30–39¢27.3% actually happened
avg price 35.3%55 events55 snapshots
40–49¢39.5% actually happened
avg price 44.1%38 events38 snapshots
50–59¢55.6% actually happened
avg price 53.8%34 events45 snapshots
60–69¢73.3% actually happened
avg price 65.1%60 events60 snapshots
70–79¢70.0% actually happened
avg price 75.5%40 events40 snapshots
80–89¢77.8% actually happened
avg price 83.1%36 events36 snapshots
90–99¢82.4% actually happened
avg price 93.8%17 events17 snapshots