← All series

PLL Game

KXPLLGAME · Sports
93 events100 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 54¢ resolved YES 43.8% of the time (k=30).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots
19¢7.0%0.0%11
1019¢13.7%66.7%33
2029¢25.8%0.0%55
3039¢36.3%33.3%33
4049¢45.0%20.0%1010
5059¢54.6%80.0%55
6069¢64.4%50.0%1214
7079¢79.0%100.0%11
8089¢84.1%81.8%1011
9099¢94.0%100.0%11