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PGA Hole Score

KXPGAHOLESCORE · Sports
198 events741 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 40.1% of the time (k=76).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢17.6% actually happened
avg price 7.3%21 events51 snapshots
10–19¢18.5% actually happened
avg price 14.3%23 events130 snapshots
20–29¢15.4% actually happened
avg price 24.2%23 events117 snapshots
30–39¢16.7% actually happened
avg price 33.2%21 events60 snapshots
40–49¢25.6% actually happened
avg price 43.9%18 events39 snapshots
50–59¢42.6% actually happened
avg price 54.7%17 events47 snapshots
60–69¢66.2% actually happened
avg price 64.3%20 events71 snapshots
70–79¢72.7% actually happened
avg price 73.6%12 events22 snapshots
80–89¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 83.0%3 events3 snapshots
90–99¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 95.9%8 events14 snapshots