PGA Head-to-Head Matchups

KXPGAH2H · Sports

1,041 events1,076 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 51¢ resolved YES 45.7% of the time (k=303).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.6%8.6%138140

10–19¢14.1%10.0%5050

20–29¢25.3%21.4%5656

30–39¢34.5%34.7%4749

40–49¢45.2%46.5%9499

50–59¢53.7%41.1%8395

60–69¢64.5%56.8%7981

70–79¢73.1%72.9%6670

80–89¢85.3%88.7%6162

90–99¢96.1%93.3%162163