PGA Head-to-Head Matchups

KXPGAH2H · Sports

1,041 events1,076 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 51¢ resolved YES 45.7% of the time (k=303).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢8.6% actually happened

avg price 3.6%138 events140 snapshots

10–19¢10.0% actually happened

avg price 14.1%50 events50 snapshots

20–29¢21.4% actually happened

avg price 25.3%56 events56 snapshots

30–39¢34.7% actually happened

avg price 34.5%47 events49 snapshots

40–49¢46.5% actually happened

avg price 45.2%94 events99 snapshots

50–59¢41.1% actually happened

avg price 53.7%83 events95 snapshots

60–69¢56.8% actually happened

avg price 64.5%79 events81 snapshots

70–79¢72.9% actually happened

avg price 73.1%66 events70 snapshots

80–89¢88.7% actually happened

avg price 85.3%61 events62 snapshots

90–99¢93.3% actually happened

avg price 96.1%162 events163 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.6%8.6%138140

10–19¢14.1%10.0%5050

20–29¢25.3%21.4%5656

30–39¢34.5%34.7%4749

40–49¢45.2%46.5%9499

50–59¢53.7%41.1%8395

60–69¢64.5%56.8%7981

70–79¢73.1%72.9%6670

80–89¢85.3%88.7%6162

90–99¢96.1%93.3%162163