PGA 3-Ball

KXPGA3BALL · Sports

2,238 events2,603 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.

Contracts averaging 85¢ resolved YES 77.2% of the time (k=310).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢6.0% actually happened

avg price 4.0%300 events365 snapshots

10–19¢7.9% actually happened

avg price 14.3%200 events216 snapshots

20–29¢26.8% actually happened

avg price 24.4%239 events265 snapshots

30–39¢35.2% actually happened

avg price 34.6%274 events355 snapshots

40–49¢35.7% actually happened

avg price 44.1%208 events230 snapshots

50–59¢45.9% actually happened

avg price 54.3%107 events111 snapshots

60–69¢59.1% actually happened

avg price 65.2%64 events66 snapshots

70–79¢58.4% actually happened

avg price 75.3%83 events89 snapshots

80–89¢80.5% actually happened

avg price 82.6%111 events113 snapshots

90–99¢88.1% actually happened

avg price 94.6%116 events118 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.0%6.0%300365

10–19¢14.3%7.9%200216

20–29¢24.4%26.8%239265

30–39¢34.6%35.2%274355

40–49¢44.1%35.7%208230

50–59¢54.3%45.9%107111

60–69¢65.2%59.1%6466

70–79¢75.3%58.4%8389

80–89¢82.6%80.5%111113

90–99¢94.6%88.1%116118