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New Zealand NBL Game

KXNZNBLGAME · Sports
251 events254 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 16¢ resolved YES 7.9% of the time (k=38).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 4.8%9 events9 snapshots
10–19¢12.5% actually happened
avg price 13.9%16 events16 snapshots
20–29¢7.7% actually happened
avg price 25.4%13 events13 snapshots
30–39¢15.4% actually happened
avg price 34.8%13 events13 snapshots
40–49¢35.7% actually happened
avg price 44.6%14 events14 snapshots
50–59¢88.9% actually happened
avg price 55.6%8 events9 snapshots
60–69¢64.3% actually happened
avg price 63.7%14 events14 snapshots
70–79¢75.0% actually happened
avg price 73.0%12 events12 snapshots
80–89¢88.2% actually happened
avg price 85.5%17 events17 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 93.7%15 events15 snapshots