New Zealand NBL Game

KXNZNBLGAME · Sports

251 events254 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 16¢ resolved YES 7.9% of the time (k=38).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 4.8%9 events9 snapshots

10–19¢12.5% actually happened

avg price 13.9%16 events16 snapshots

20–29¢7.7% actually happened

avg price 25.4%13 events13 snapshots

30–39¢15.4% actually happened

avg price 34.8%13 events13 snapshots

40–49¢35.7% actually happened

avg price 44.6%14 events14 snapshots

50–59¢88.9% actually happened

avg price 55.6%8 events9 snapshots

60–69¢64.3% actually happened

avg price 63.7%14 events14 snapshots

70–79¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 73.0%12 events12 snapshots

80–89¢88.2% actually happened

avg price 85.5%17 events17 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 93.7%15 events15 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.8%0.0%99

10–19¢13.9%12.5%1616

20–29¢25.4%7.7%1313

30–39¢34.8%15.4%1313

40–49¢44.6%35.7%1414

50–59¢55.6%88.9%89

60–69¢63.7%64.3%1414

70–79¢73.0%75.0%1212

80–89¢85.5%88.2%1717

90–99¢93.7%100.0%1515