New Zealand NBL Game

KXNZNBLGAME · Sports

251 events254 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 16¢ resolved YES 7.9% of the time (k=38).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.8%0.0%99

10–19¢13.9%12.5%1616

20–29¢25.4%7.7%1313

30–39¢34.8%15.4%1313

40–49¢44.6%35.7%1414

50–59¢55.6%88.9%89

60–69¢63.7%64.3%1414

70–79¢73.0%75.0%1212

80–89¢85.5%88.2%1717

90–99¢93.7%100.0%1515