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NHL Goal Total

KXNHLTOTAL · Sports
402 events490 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.
Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 60.9% of the time (k=41).
“Sure things” here delivered even more than priced in — favorites were historically underpriced.
Contracts averaging 88¢ resolved YES 95.1% of the time (k=69).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢1.7% actually happened
avg price 3.4%24 events60 snapshots
10–19¢13.0% actually happened
avg price 14.5%22 events23 snapshots
20–29¢15.4% actually happened
avg price 23.1%13 events13 snapshots
30–39¢25.0% actually happened
avg price 34.0%4 events4 snapshots
40–49¢60.0% actually happened
avg price 44.5%17 events20 snapshots
50–59¢58.3% actually happened
avg price 54.0%11 events12 snapshots
60–69¢80.0% actually happened
avg price 64.2%9 events10 snapshots
70–79¢81.8% actually happened
avg price 73.9%19 events22 snapshots
80–89¢96.9% actually happened
avg price 85.4%23 events32 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 95.9%27 events48 snapshots