NHL Goal Total

KXNHLTOTAL · Sports

402 events490 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 60.9% of the time (k=41).

“Sure things” here delivered even more than priced in — favorites were historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 88¢ resolved YES 95.1% of the time (k=69).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢3.4%1.7%2460

10–19¢14.5%13.0%2223

20–29¢23.1%15.4%1313

30–39¢34.0%25.0%44

40–49¢44.5%60.0%1720

50–59¢54.0%58.3%1112

60–69¢64.2%80.0%910

70–79¢73.9%81.8%1922

80–89¢85.4%96.9%2332

90–99¢95.9%100.0%2748