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NHL Spread

KXNHLSPREAD · Sports
178 events243 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 43.3% of the time (k=30).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢1.8% actually happened
avg price 2.6%30 events56 snapshots
10–19¢15.4% actually happened
avg price 14.2%9 events13 snapshots
20–29¢33.3% actually happened
avg price 23.7%8 events9 snapshots
30–39¢14.3% actually happened
avg price 34.9%7 events7 snapshots
40–49¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 45.4%10 events10 snapshots
50–59¢40.0% actually happened
avg price 55.6%5 events5 snapshots
60–69¢62.5% actually happened
avg price 65.8%8 events8 snapshots
70–79¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 74.7%3 events3 snapshots
80–89¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 84.3%3 events3 snapshots
90–99¢100.0% actually happened
avg price 96.3%4 events6 snapshots