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NHL Spread

KXNHLSPREAD · Sports
178 events243 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 43.3% of the time (k=30).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots
19¢2.6%1.8%3056
1019¢14.2%15.4%913
2029¢23.7%33.3%89
3039¢34.9%14.3%77
4049¢45.4%50.0%1010
5059¢55.6%40.0%55
6069¢65.8%62.5%88
7079¢74.7%100.0%33
8089¢84.3%100.0%33
9099¢96.3%100.0%46