NHL Spread

KXNHLSPREAD · Sports

178 events243 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 43.3% of the time (k=30).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢1.8% actually happened

avg price 2.6%30 events56 snapshots

10–19¢15.4% actually happened

avg price 14.2%9 events13 snapshots

20–29¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 23.7%8 events9 snapshots

30–39¢14.3% actually happened

avg price 34.9%7 events7 snapshots

40–49¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 45.4%10 events10 snapshots

50–59¢40.0% actually happened

avg price 55.6%5 events5 snapshots

60–69¢62.5% actually happened

avg price 65.8%8 events8 snapshots

70–79¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 74.7%3 events3 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 84.3%3 events3 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 96.3%4 events6 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢2.6%1.8%3056

10–19¢14.2%15.4%913

20–29¢23.7%33.3%89

30–39¢34.9%14.3%77

40–49¢45.4%50.0%1010

50–59¢55.6%40.0%55

60–69¢65.8%62.5%88

70–79¢74.7%100.0%33

80–89¢84.3%100.0%33

90–99¢96.3%100.0%46