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Pro Hockey Goalscorer

KXNHLGOAL · Sports
170 events1,897 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 44¢ resolved YES 3.8% of the time (k=36).
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 96¢ resolved YES 87.5% of the time (k=42).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢1.2% actually happened
avg price 3.7%30 events1,154 snapshots
10–19¢8.8% actually happened
avg price 14.0%30 events339 snapshots
20–29¢8.2% actually happened
avg price 23.2%25 events85 snapshots
30–39¢4.5% actually happened
avg price 34.5%13 events22 snapshots
40–49¢7.7% actually happened
avg price 44.8%10 events13 snapshots
50–59¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 52.2%10 events13 snapshots
60–69¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 62.7%3 events4 snapshots
70–79¢16.7% actually happened
avg price 74.7%6 events6 snapshots
80–89¢16.7% actually happened
avg price 82.3%7 events12 snapshots
90–99¢97.6% actually happened
avg price 98.9%29 events126 snapshots