Pro Basketball Total Points

KXNBATOTAL · Sports

468 events737 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Cheap contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 14¢ resolved YES 23.4% of the time (k=55).

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well above their price — historically underpriced.

Contracts averaging 50¢ resolved YES 62.1% of the time (k=109).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢11.9% actually happened

avg price 5.5%12 events42 snapshots

10–19¢24.4% actually happened

avg price 14.5%21 events41 snapshots

20–29¢39.3% actually happened

avg price 24.8%22 events28 snapshots

30–39¢54.8% actually happened

avg price 34.3%25 events31 snapshots

40–49¢53.5% actually happened

avg price 44.9%30 events43 snapshots

50–59¢62.5% actually happened

avg price 54.8%27 events32 snapshots

60–69¢79.4% actually happened

avg price 65.4%27 events34 snapshots

70–79¢81.3% actually happened

avg price 74.9%27 events32 snapshots

80–89¢93.9% actually happened

avg price 84.4%26 events49 snapshots

90–99¢93.8% actually happened

avg price 94.4%21 events64 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢5.5%11.9%1242

10–19¢14.5%24.4%2141

20–29¢24.8%39.3%2228

30–39¢34.3%54.8%2531

40–49¢44.9%53.5%3043

50–59¢54.8%62.5%2732

60–69¢65.4%79.4%2734

70–79¢74.9%81.3%2732

80–89¢84.4%93.9%2649

90–99¢94.4%93.8%2164