Pro Basketball Player Points Leader

KXNBAPTSLEADER · Sports

140 events434 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.

Contracts averaging 44¢ resolved YES 22.2% of the time (k=31).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢1.4% actually happened

avg price 2.6%31 events208 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 13.6%18 events30 snapshots

20–29¢13.0% actually happened

avg price 23.3%15 events23 snapshots

30–39¢11.1% actually happened

avg price 33.8%13 events18 snapshots

40–49¢40.0% actually happened

avg price 43.8%5 events5 snapshots

50–59¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 54.0%6 events6 snapshots

60–69¢28.6% actually happened

avg price 64.0%7 events7 snapshots

70–79¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 75.5%2 events2 snapshots

80–89¢70.0% actually happened

avg price 83.9%10 events10 snapshots

90–99¢57.1% actually happened

avg price 94.4%6 events7 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢2.6%1.4%31208

10–19¢13.6%0.0%1830

20–29¢23.3%13.0%1523

30–39¢33.8%11.1%1318

40–49¢43.8%40.0%55

50–59¢54.0%33.3%66

60–69¢64.0%28.6%77

70–79¢75.5%50.0%22

80–89¢83.9%70.0%1010

90–99¢94.4%57.1%67