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Pro Basketball Player Points Leader

KXNBAPTSLEADER · Sports
140 events434 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 44¢ resolved YES 22.2% of the time (k=31).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢1.4% actually happened
avg price 2.6%31 events208 snapshots
10–19¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 13.6%18 events30 snapshots
20–29¢13.0% actually happened
avg price 23.3%15 events23 snapshots
30–39¢11.1% actually happened
avg price 33.8%13 events18 snapshots
40–49¢40.0% actually happened
avg price 43.8%5 events5 snapshots
50–59¢33.3% actually happened
avg price 54.0%6 events6 snapshots
60–69¢28.6% actually happened
avg price 64.0%7 events7 snapshots
70–79¢50.0% actually happened
avg price 75.5%2 events2 snapshots
80–89¢70.0% actually happened
avg price 83.9%10 events10 snapshots
90–99¢57.1% actually happened
avg price 94.4%6 events7 snapshots