Pro Basketball Team to Draft

KXNBADRAFTTEAM · Sports

140 events848 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢1.2% actually happened

avg price 2.2%17 events245 snapshots

10–19¢7.3% actually happened

avg price 13.3%14 events41 snapshots

20–29¢5.6% actually happened

avg price 23.8%8 events18 snapshots

30–39¢13.3% actually happened

avg price 34.9%8 events15 snapshots

40–49¢25.0% actually happened

avg price 46.5%3 events4 snapshots

60–69¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 66.3%4 events4 snapshots

70–79¢66.7% actually happened

avg price 73.7%3 events3 snapshots

80–89¢12.5% actually happened

avg price 82.6%3 events8 snapshots

90–99¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 90.0%1 events1 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢2.2%1.2%17245

10–19¢13.3%7.3%1441

20–29¢23.8%5.6%818

30–39¢34.9%13.3%815

40–49¢46.5%25.0%34

60–69¢66.3%75.0%44

70–79¢73.7%66.7%33

80–89¢82.6%12.5%38

90–99¢90.0%100.0%11