Pro Basketball Draft Pick

KXNBADRAFTPICK · Sports

151 events809 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢1.3% actually happened

avg price 2.9%19 events301 snapshots

10–19¢8.0% actually happened

avg price 13.9%18 events50 snapshots

20–29¢5.9% actually happened

avg price 23.6%11 events17 snapshots

30–39¢14.3% actually happened

avg price 32.9%7 events7 snapshots

40–49¢75.0% actually happened

avg price 45.3%4 events4 snapshots

50–59¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 50.5%2 events2 snapshots

60–69¢40.0% actually happened

avg price 60.6%4 events5 snapshots

80–89¢100.0% actually happened

avg price 83.0%3 events3 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢2.9%1.3%19301

10–19¢13.9%8.0%1850

20–29¢23.6%5.9%1117

30–39¢32.9%14.3%77

40–49¢45.3%75.0%44

50–59¢50.5%50.0%22

60–69¢60.6%40.0%45

80–89¢83.0%100.0%33