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Pro Basketball Player Blocks

KXNBABLK · Sports
362 events565 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 14¢ resolved YES 5.5% of the time (k=62).
Mid-priced contracts here resolved well below their price — buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 47¢ resolved YES 31.7% of the time (k=70).
“Sure things” here underdelivered — favorites resolved below their price.
Contracts averaging 90¢ resolved YES 71.1% of the time (k=54).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢5.1% actually happened
avg price 5.0%21 events39 snapshots
10–19¢5.3% actually happened
avg price 14.2%19 events38 snapshots
20–29¢6.1% actually happened
avg price 25.4%22 events33 snapshots
30–39¢14.6% actually happened
avg price 34.7%25 events41 snapshots
40–49¢31.6% actually happened
avg price 43.3%11 events19 snapshots
50–59¢59.1% actually happened
avg price 54.8%16 events22 snapshots
60–69¢36.4% actually happened
avg price 63.9%18 events22 snapshots
70–79¢66.7% actually happened
avg price 73.3%13 events15 snapshots
80–89¢68.4% actually happened
avg price 84.4%14 events19 snapshots
90–99¢73.2% actually happened
avg price 97.1%27 events56 snapshots