Pro Basketball 2nd Half Winner

KXNBA2HWINNER · Sports

168 events173 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026

This market has been well calibrated — prices roughly matched what happened.

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close

Market underpricesMarket overprices

How often it actually happened

What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail

1–9¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 4.5%26 events26 snapshots

10–19¢0.0% actually happened

avg price 14.5%6 events6 snapshots

20–29¢33.3% actually happened

avg price 21.0%3 events3 snapshots

30–39¢36.4% actually happened

avg price 34.6%10 events11 snapshots

40–49¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 45.3%17 events18 snapshots

50–59¢47.1% actually happened

avg price 54.2%17 events17 snapshots

60–69¢80.0% actually happened

avg price 63.0%5 events5 snapshots

70–79¢80.0% actually happened

avg price 74.6%5 events5 snapshots

80–89¢50.0% actually happened

avg price 82.0%2 events2 snapshots

Price bandAvg priceActually happenedEventsSnapshots

1–9¢4.5%0.0%2626

10–19¢14.5%0.0%66

20–29¢21.0%33.3%33

30–39¢34.6%36.4%1011

40–49¢45.3%50.0%1718

50–59¢54.2%47.1%1717

60–69¢63.0%80.0%55

70–79¢74.6%80.0%55

80–89¢82.0%50.0%22