← All series

Pro Basketball 2nd Half Total Points

KXNBA2HTOTAL · Sports
261 events349 snapshotsCoverage since May 2026
Cheap contracts here resolved well below their price — longshot buyers historically overpaid.
Contracts averaging 17¢ resolved YES 11.3% of the time (k=38).

Price vs. actual outcome

Final hour before close
Market underpricesMarket overprices
How often it actually happened
What the market charged

Series views omit confidence intervals where samples are thin — hollow dots have fewer than 10 events. Every point shows its counts on hover.

Price bands in detail
1–9¢0.0% actually happened
avg price 6.0%9 events11 snapshots
10–19¢4.8% actually happened
avg price 15.6%12 events21 snapshots
20–29¢23.8% actually happened
avg price 24.6%17 events21 snapshots
30–39¢30.8% actually happened
avg price 34.4%21 events26 snapshots
40–49¢54.8% actually happened
avg price 44.8%21 events31 snapshots
50–59¢61.5% actually happened
avg price 53.7%19 events26 snapshots
60–69¢53.8% actually happened
avg price 63.8%19 events26 snapshots
70–79¢83.3% actually happened
avg price 74.3%16 events24 snapshots
80–89¢72.7% actually happened
avg price 83.5%17 events22 snapshots
90–99¢82.6% actually happened
avg price 94.3%17 events23 snapshots